Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.640817 1.887545 2.150271 2.449938 2.781329 3.135656 3.542196
2025-02-09 1.184717 1.523398 1.914738 2.395884 2.966830 3.617972 4.411735
2025-02-16 0.874177 1.249368 1.716961 2.331517 3.106121 4.037917 5.230325
2025-02-23 0.689129 1.084869 1.612578 2.347195 3.320922 4.543991 6.170391
2025-03-02 0.538185 0.931359 1.490723 2.312025 3.451124 4.937295 6.979937
2025-03-09 0.442137 0.834752 1.426869 2.337700 3.650696 5.418879 7.915809
2025-03-16 0.358754 0.739370 1.347366 2.325335 3.787061 5.813732 8.746739
2025-03-23 0.315638 0.701036 1.347032 2.424711 4.082793 6.435058 9.904777
2025-03-30 0.275855 0.660033 1.335011 2.500991 4.344408 7.015797 11.025699
2025-04-06 0.225861 0.588887 1.261591 2.469327 4.436042 7.351784 11.810294
2025-04-13 0.194228 0.547194 1.232778 2.505344 4.630316 7.841415 12.827598
2025-04-20 0.165437 0.504848 1.196265 2.522737 4.792625 8.286421 13.791785
2025-04-27 0.141517 0.469136 1.169613 2.558330 4.992407 8.806271 14.901233
2025-05-04 0.116874 0.425328 1.120945 2.549738 5.118610 9.219614 15.870156
2025-05-11 0.093337 0.377081 1.055361 2.502197 5.173910 9.522527 16.681519
2025-05-18 0.078930 0.349585 1.029768 2.527429 5.354697 10.029916 17.820976
2025-05-25 0.063417 0.313053 0.977551 2.493833 5.427088 10.362443 18.696758
2025-06-01 0.053806 0.291971 0.957719 2.522659 5.611371 10.882017 19.878156
2025-06-08 0.043888 0.265581 0.920242 2.510212 5.717310 11.273405 20.865474
2025-06-15 0.040050 0.260968 0.937520 2.615988 6.049325 12.055111 22.498839
2025-06-22 0.035718 0.252598 0.943518 2.697052 6.337491 12.770590 24.042472
2025-06-29 0.028486 0.227758 0.900232 2.663514 6.401860 13.102997 24.969512
2025-07-06 0.024330 0.215098 0.889054 2.701750 6.607540 13.685660 26.320989